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A First Step to Sound Money: New York Sun

"How high, how fast and how far both gold and silver prices rise on the next rally is entirely up to JPMorgan et al."

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

The gold price spent most of the Tuesday trading day within three bucks of the $1,500 price level...both above and below.

There was a noticeable dip into the London p.m. gold fix at 3:00 p.m. local time...10:00 a.m. in New York...and that proved to be gold's low price of the day. Then the price spiked up ten dollars in short order before a not-for-profit seller showed up. The spot gold price finished slightly above the $1,500 mark. Volume was very light.

Silver pretty much followed gold's price path, except the high of the day was within an hour of the London open. Silver's low of the day occurred at the same time as gold's low....the London p.m. gold fix. The subsequent rally ran into the same not-for-profit seller, but managed to gain those losses back in the New York Access Market after the 1:30 p.m. Eastern Comex close. Silver finished up about forty cents on the day. Volume was heavy, but virtually all of it was roll-overs out of the July contract.

The world's reserve currency didn't do a lot yesterday, but between 7:30 and 10:30 a.m. in New York yesterday morning, it fell off a 65 basis point cliff...then went on to recover just a hair into the close of trading at 5:15 p.m. Eastern.

Don't bother looking for any co-relation between the dollar and the gold price yesterday, because there wasn't any.

The London p.m. gold fix stands out like a sore thumb on the HUI graph below...and the gold stocks gained almost two percent from their 9:50 a.m. low on the subsequent $10 spike in the gold price. And, despite the effect that the not-for-profit seller had on the price after that, the stocks stayed up for the rest of the day. The HUI finished up 1.61%.

For the most part, the silver stocks did much better...especially the juniors...which is almost the complete opposite of what they did on Monday. Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index closed up 1.51%

The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 63 gold contracts, along with 9 silver contracts, were posted for delivery on Thursday. As usual, there were no surprises with the identities of the issuers and stoppers. The Bank of Nova Scotia issued all 63 contracts...and JPMorgan stopped/received 55 of them...14 in its client account...and 41 in its proprietary [house] account. The link to yesterday's action is here.

There will be one more small delivery report for the June contract issued tomorrow evening...and then we get the deliveries for the July silver contract, which should be posted on the CME's website tomorrow night.

There was no reported change in GLD yesterday...but the SLV ETF reported a withdrawal of 682,383 troy ounces.

Over at Switzerland's Zürcher Kantonalbank last week, their gold ETF reported an increase of 16,216 troy ounces...and their silver ETF rose by 62,887 ounces. I thank Carl Loeb for providing these figures.

There was no report from the U.S. Mint.

The Comex-approved depositories reported receiving 298,819 ounces of silver on Monday...and shipped 219,759 ounces out the door, for net increase of 79,060 troy ounces.

Here's a photo I stole from a Reuters story filed from Singapore earlier today that Roy Stephens sent me. The story wasn't worth posting, but the photo imbedded in it certainly was. These look like London good delivery bars to me...400 troy ounces per copy...worth about US$600,000 each at today's price.

The photo was taken at the Czech National Bank in Prague on January 31, 2011. [Photo Credit: Reuters/Petr Josek]

¤ Critical Reads

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$8.5 Billion Deal Near in Suit on Bank Mortgage Debt

Bank of America is completing an agreement to pay $8.5 billion to settle claims by investors that purchased mortgage securities that soured when the housing bubble burst, according to people briefed on the deal. It represents what is likely to be the single biggest settlement tied to the subprime mortgage boom and the subsequent financial crisis of 2008.

The settlement would wipe out all of the company’s earnings in the first half of this year, and it could also provide a template for deals with other big banks that face tens of billions in similar claims.

That's a big chunk of change...but amounts to only a small fraction of the money that BoA and the other Wall Street Banksters have screwed their clients out of over the last decade.

I thank reader U.D. for sending me this story out of yesterday's edition of The New York Times...and the link is here.

Wal-Mart Swipes JPMorgan in Lobbying Duel Over $16 Billion Debit-Card Fees

Jennifer Cavallaro, owner of The Bee Hive Cafe in Bristol, Rhode Island...was a recruit in the retail industry’s surprise victorious assault on one of the most reliable income streams for big banks, worth $16 billion a year. Her message hailed the U.S. Senate’s decision that week to include a cap on debit-card fees in its bill overhauling rules for Wall Street.

During her recent trip to Washington, she lobbied to cut the average 44 cents that merchants must pay a bank whenever a customer uses a debit card. Her message hailed the U.S. Senate’s decision that week to include a cap on debit-card fees in its bill overhauling rules for Wall Street.

Far from ending the matter, the vote touched off one of the most intense lobbying duels in memory as the banking industry, Visa Inc. and MasterCard Inc., sought to kill or delay the debit-card measure. It raged for more than a year, culminating on June 8th when the banks lost a cliffhanger of a vote in the Senate.

Perhaps we should send here to see Gary Gensler and get her to work her magic on him regarding JPMorgan's grotesque short position in the silver futures market.

This very interesting Bloomberg piece is courtesy of Washington state reader S.A...and is well worth the read. The link is here.

The Day the Law Left Town

The citizens of Alto, Texas are bracing for a spike in crime after the city put its police force on furlough.

City Council members sent the police home when they decided they couldn't afford them. On June 15, the police chief and his four officers secured the evidence room, changed the passwords on their computers and locked the department's doors for six months—longer if local finances don't improve by then.

For now, the Cherokee County sheriff's office, based 12 miles north in Rusk, is policing Alto, a city of about 1,200.

Calling a population center of 1,200 people a 'city' is a bit of a stretch...even for Texas.

This Wall Street Journal story from yesterday is also courtesy of Washington state reader S.A...and the link is here.

Greece protest against austerity package turns violent

Here's a bbc.co.uk story that I 'borrowed' from yesterday's King Report.

Police have fired tear gas in running battles with stone-throwing youths in Athens, where a 48-hour general strike is being held against a parliamentary vote on tough austerity measures.

Thousands of protesters gathered outside parliament in the capital where public transport ground to a halt.

PM George Papandreou has said that only his 28bn-euro (£25bn) austerity plan would get Greece back on its feet. If the package is not approved, Greece could run out of money within weeks.

The link is here.

Walker's World: China's soft-power hurdle

Here's a UPI story filed from Beijing yesterday...and it's courtesy of reader Roy Stephens.

The European charm offensive of Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao has been conducted with characteristic Chinese thoughtfulness and efficiency.

"There will not be real socialism if there is no real democracy, and there will not be protection of economic and political rights if there is no real freedom," Wen told a meeting at the venerable Royal Society, founded in the 17th century as one of the first great institutions of science in the West, where he received a medal.

The effect of this back home in China was somewhat muted, since the CCN TV news report of the meeting suddenly blacked out at a point when human rights were raised.

This is a must read piece...and the link is here.

Senegal deploys extra troops as power cuts enrage

Senegal deployed extra troops at ministry buildings, armoured personnel carriers near the presidential palace and at least one helicopter gunship in the capital Dakar on Wednesday after riots over lengthy power cuts.

Many Dakar homes and businesses have been without electricity for more than 30 hours, catalysing anti-government sentiment. Overnight, demonstrators burnt tyres and ransacked the offices of state electricity company Senelec and ministers' homes.

Senegal has earned a reputation as West Africa's most stable and democratic country but is seeing rising public frustration over backsliding public services, particularly in power generation, since Wade took power in 2000.

This Reuters piece, filed from Dakar yesterday, is courtesy of reader Scott Pluschau...and the link is here.

Opec split threatens increase in Saudi oil production

A growing split between the world's biggest oil consumers and major Opec producers over prices means Saudi Arabia may no longer increase its oil output by as much as it pledged.

The International Energy Agency's (IEA) attempts to bring down the oil price have sparked a war of words with Opec, the 12-country cartel that produces 40pc of the world's crude output.

Opec is also divided between groups of members such as Saudi Arabia and Kuwait which would be happy with lower prices, and others such as Iran and Venezuela, which do not want to raise production and dampen prices.

This story was filed over at The Telegraph shortly after midnight...and, once again, I thank Roy Stephens for sharing it with us. It's worth running through...and the link is here.

Gaddafi gold-for-oil, dollar-doom plans behind Libya 'mission'?

More speculation has been raised on the reasons for NATO's intervention in Libya. As RT's Laura Emmett reports, the organisation may have been trying to prevent Gaddafi from burying the American buck.

I'd heard rumours of this...and knowing what I know, it certainly strikes a chord with me. This 3:11 minute RT video was sent to me by reader Tariq Khan...and it's worth a look. The link is here.

Contrarians still bullish on gold: Mark Hulbert

These recent failures are not good reasons to give up on contrarian analysis, however. Unless you think that there has been a fundamental shift in the relationship between investor psychology and the gold market, the best guess is that the last couple of weeks are the exception that proves the contrarian rule.

And, if so, odds remain that gold’s next significant move will be up.

I couldn't agree more...and I thank Florida reader Donna Badach for sending this marketwatch.com story along...and the link is here.

Summer gold trading will be one for the history books: James Turk

Eric King sent me this James Turk blog yesterday afternoon...and it's worth the read...and the link is here.

Buy Silver, the lows for the correction are in: Robin Griffiths

Here's another King World News blog that Eric sent me yesterday. It's a must read as well...and the link is here.

Three senators propose eliminating capital gains taxes on gold, silver coins

Here's a story from yesterday's edition of The Salt Lake Tribune that ended up as a GATA release last night.

Utah Senator Mike Lee joined with fellow Republicans on Tuesday to introduce legislation that would jettison federal capital gains taxes for gold or silver coins.

Lee noted that the U.S. dollar has lost about 98 percent of its value since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913.

"This bill is an important step towards a stable and sound currency whose value is protected from the Fed's printing press," Lee said.

It's a very short must read story...and you've already read about half of it...and the link to the rest is here.

A first step to sound money: New York Sun

Here's a GATA release that came out late last night...and it's an editorial from yesterday's edition of the New York Sun...and is commentary on the previous Salt Lake Tribune article above.

Since Chris Powell has already written the preamble for me, the link to that...and this must read GATA posting, is here.

¤ The Funnies

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¤ The Wrap

Gold net volume yesterday was around 88,000 contracts...which is very light. The preliminary open interest number shows an increase of 5,075 contracts, but that will be much reduced by the time the final number is posted later this a.m. Monday's final open interest number for gold checked in with a reduction of 4,665 contracts.

Silver's net volume yesterday was miniscule once all the roll-overs out of the July contract were removed...and the preliminary open interest number showed a decline of 1,307 contracts. The final o.i. number should show an even bigger decline. I would guess that some of this o.i. reduction is spread related...but that won't be known for sure until Friday's Commitment of Traders report. Monday's final open interest number for silver showed another decline...this time it was 804 contracts.

Yesterday [Tuesday] was the cut-off for Friday's COT report...and whatever the final o.i. numbers reported by the CME are for gold and silver this morning, will appear in that report.

I haven't heard a peep out of anyone for many a moon regarding the silver backwardation issue. It obviously hasn't meant very much [at least not to this point], so Ted Butler's original comments about it being meaningless have proven correct...for the moment.

At the present time, there's about a three cent premium per ounce all the way out to about March 2012...and the total backwardation from the June 2011 month, to December 2015, is down to fifty-six cents. It was almost triple that at one time.

The gold price in Far East trading during their business day on Wednesday showed a positive bias almost from the opening...and now that London is open [3:00 a.m. Eastern], gold is up about six bucks...and silver is up about thirty-five cents.

Gold net volume, at the moment, is even lighter than it was this time yesterday...and net volume in silver is miniscule, if the CME's current silver data is to be believed.

How high, how fast and how far both gold and silver prices rise on the next rally is entirely up to JPMorgan et al. If they've covered as many shorts on this 'drive by shooting' that they can in both metals...what they do from hereon in will determine the outcome of what I mentioned in the previous sentence.

If they put their hands in their pockets and do nothing...and don't become not-for-profit sellers, or sellers of last resort as the tech fund longs pour in, then we'll blast off to the upside even faster than we went down in price...as there are no legitimate short sellers left in this market...and the tech fund longs will have to bid up the price to fantastic levels in order to find such a short seller.

The other alternative is more of what we've had over the last twenty-five years or so...and we shouldn't have too long to wait to see how this resolves itself. And, as Ted Butler has pounded into by head over the last twelve years, you'll know what the bullion banks have chosen to do by just looking at the price action. That will tell you everything.

The nice ladies over at Casey Research HQ in Stowe, Vermont have another special offering that I thought a few of you might be interested in.

A [very] few spots for the Casey Energy Confidential alert service have become available, so CR is going to be opening it to new members until these few slots are filled...or July 15th arrives...which ever comes first.

The price is not cheap, but the best things in life never are. The subscription price is $3,600 per year [20% off the retail rate] or $989 per quarter [12% savings], and that price will be locked in for the duration of your subscription. It comes with our standard 90-day money-back guarantee [minus a 10% processing fee – because this is such a limited-space service and we rarely open it to new members...and this helps deter the tire-kickers.]

So, if you want to be at the very cutting edge of Casey Research's elite alert service for energy...you can find out more about this special offer by clicking here. And don't forget, there are very few spots available.

I'm done for today...and judging by early London action, it might be a rather interesting trading day once the Comex opens for business this morning in New York.

See you tomorrow.

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