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The Royal Canadian Mint Sells 18.9 Million Ounces of Silver Maple Leafs in 2010

"The tech funds were obviously liquidating their long positions...and the bullion banks were standing there buying those longs for themselves, or covering short positions. "

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

The gold price didn't do much on Monday until around noon Hong Kong time. Then, during the next three hours, the gold price 'fell' about fifteen bucks, hitting its low of the day precisely at the London open...which was 3:00 a.m. New York time.

From that low, gold rose back to unchanged from its Friday close, but then the price rolled over and proceeded to fall about ten bucks, with the secondary low coming at 1:00 p.m. Eastern time...a half hour before the Comex close. From that point, gold gained back about five bucks and closed the New York electronic trading session five dollars below its Friday close. Volume was pretty decent...but not anywhere near as large as the volume on Thursday and Friday of last week.

Silver's price path was pretty similar to gold's, except for the fact that the low of the day came in New York at 1:00 p.m. right on the button...at the precise same moment as gold's secondary low of the day.

The silver price made a decent stab at a recovery...and had gained back about forty-five cents by around 2:15 p.m. Eastern, when it got sold off once again in the low-volume New York Access Market. Volume was pretty heavy, but most of it was roll-overs out of July and into either September or December.

The dollar was up almost 40 basis points during early Monday trading in the Far East...with the high being set about 9:00 a.m. Hong Kong time.

It was all down hill from there. There was some minor co-relation between the dollar and the gold price from about 6:30 a.m. and 11:00 a.m. Eastern time...but that was it. From its absolute high price....right up until the New York close, the dollar fell about 65 basis points...and there is, of course, no sign of that in the precious metal price action.

As usual, precious metals prices were driven by other factors...the bullion banks.

The gold stocks pretty much followed the gold price action...and the HUI finished basically unchanged...down 0.04%.

The silver shares did just OK yesterday...but a lot of the juniors really got it in the neck. They were doing OK up until around lunchtime in New York, but then really got sold off. But Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index only closed down 0.57%

The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 47 gold contracts, along with 8 silver contracts, were posted for delivery on Wednesday. The Bank of Nova Scotia and JPMorgan's client account were the only two issuers...and the biggest stopper was JPMorgan in its proprietary trading account with 39 contracts received. It's the same old, same old.

There were no reported changes in either GLD or SLV yesterday...and as silver analyst Ted Butler pointed out in his weekend commentary, SLV has an outstanding short position of 37,334,000 units...or 11.6% of all shares outstanding...and not one ounce of physical silver backs any of those shares.

The U.S. Mint had a sales report yesterday. They sold 9,000 ounces of gold eagles...1,500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...along with another 352,500 silver eagles. Month-to-date, the sales figures are as follows: 54,000 ounces of gold eagles...4,000 gold buffaloes...and 2,948,000 silver eagles. I'd like to think that they'll have at least one more sales report before the end of this month.

It was a busy day over at the Comex-approved depositories on Friday. They received 1,466,628 ounces of silver...almost all of it at HSBC, USA...and they reported shipping out 398,668 ounces of the stuff. The link to the action is here.

Here are three paragraphs about the massive short position that exists in the SLV ETF that I snipped out of silver analyst Ted Butler's weekend commentary to his paying subscribers on Saturday...

"The latest short figure for shares in SLV was just released. As of June 15, the short position for SLV rose by 4.2 million shares (ounces), to a new record of more than 37 million shares. The SLV short position now constitutes more than 11.6% of all shares outstanding. This is truly an obscenely large short position for any stock; so large that it is inherently fraudulent and manipulative to the price of SLV from a size point alone. In turn, the price of silver itself is also manipulated given that SLV is the largest inventory of silver in the world. It also means that there are more than 37 million shares of SLV in existence that have no silver backing, as required by the prospectus. There is no question in my mind that BlackRock, the Trust’s sponsor is negligent for this continuing fraud and manipulation in SLV and will, hopefully, be brought to justice."

"So large is the short position in SLV, that it seems impossible that the largest COMEX short, JPMorgan, is not somehow involved in it (and every other manipulative dirty trick in silver). To my knowledge, there is no disclosure as to the identity of short sellers in stocks. As I previously indicated, it seems patently unfair that large long holders in stocks must publicly identify themselves over certain thresholds, but no such rule applies to shorts. My suspicion is that JPMorgan is involved in the SLV short in conjunction with its big COMEX short position. On the one hand, the concentrated COMEX short position has come down significantly; but on the other hand, the short position in SLV has grown to levels never seen. Is there a connection here? I think so. I did privately ask (at the highest levels) that the CFTC inquire into this with the SEC, but asking and getting are sometimes two different things. But given the unusual price action in silver, both at the beginning of May and late last week it would seem reasonable for the regulators to see if there is a connection between the COMEX and SLV short positions. These are very unusual circumstances."

"It is precisely these unusual silver short positions on the COMEX and in shares of SLV that contribute to silver being very special. These short positions exist for a very basic reason; there is not enough real silver available for sale at current prices. That makes it necessary for shares of SLV to be sold short, as not enough silver is available to issue new shares legitimately and in accordance with the prospectus. That makes it necessary for additional COMEX contracts to be sold by existing short holders even though they can’t economically justify their existing large short positions."

Here's an interesting tidbit from page 12 of the Royal Canadian Mint's 2010 Annual Report...

"The Mint was an active player in the precious metals market in 2010 as one of the top suppliers of gold and silver bullion to customers in Canada, Europe, Asia and the United States. Its onsite refinery, exceptional quality and service standards, and its solid international relationships with partners and distributors proved highly attractive to investors seeking precious metal assets."

"Demand for silver was especially high last year, leading to record sales of the Mint’s Silver Maple Leaf (SML) products: 17.9 million ounces, a 74 percent increase over 2009. One of the hottest products was the Mint’s Canadian Silver Wolf Bullion Coin. The quick sell-out of these coins is a testament to the effectiveness of the Mint’s market research in keeping attuned to consumer interest." [The Mint produced 1 million of these coins in addition to the 17.9 million SML - Ed]

"The Mint sustained significant levels of Gold Maple Leaf sales as well [1,135,000 to be precise, down 7.9% from 2009 GML production levels - Ed] but its gold refinery volume decreased to 4.9 million ounces, a 3 percent decrease over 2009. Storage business grew as institutions sought to safeguard their holdings, an offering that will remain important over the long term as market demand settles."

¤ Critical Reads

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US consumer spending weakest for a year

Spending was flat in May, the Commerce Department said on Monday, and, once adjusted for inflation, showed a decline of 1pc.

Hopes that 2011 would see the US recovery strengthen have so far been dashed as higher gasoline and food prices erode the spending power of millions of Americans.

This story, one of many from Roy Stephens today, was posted at The Telegraph yesterday evening...and the link is here.

Ron Paul’s Anti-Fed Message Gains Respect for White House Bid

Last month, his venue for announcing another presidential bid was an appearance on ABC’s “Good Morning America” -- a program with more than 4.5 million viewers. He spoke from a rally in New Hampshire, where hundreds of backers drawn to Paul’s message of shrinking government and limiting its reach cheered the 75-year-old great-grandfather.

“During the last campaign people weren’t too interested in what I was saying,” Paul said in an interview. “There’s some respect for it now.”

This is a Bloomberg story from yesterday...and I thank Washington state reader S.A. for sending it along. The link is here.

Global Banking Is What's Really in Crisis

Today's next story is another Roy Stephens offering...this one out of the weekend edition of The Wall Street Journal.

What we have come to call the Greek crisis is, first, an international banking crisis. Like Lehman Brothers, Greece is definitely not too big to fail. It is too interconnected to fail, too interconnected to the international banking system, too interconnected to the political ambitions of those who have spent decades replacing the system of nation states with a united Europe.

It's nice to see someone call a spade a shovel in the main stream media on this side of the Atlantic Ocean regarding the world's banking system. And let's not forget that British and American banks have exposure as well, if not directly, then indirectly through credit default swaps, which are just as lethal. This article is worth your time...and the link is here.

Interest rates must rise worldwide, says BIS

Here's a story that was posted over at bbc.co.uk late on Sunday night that reader George Findlay was kind enough to share with us.

The BIS warned low cost of borrowing had resulted in a credit and property price boom that was fuelling inflation, especially in emerging economies. [No! Really? - Ed]

"The prolonged period of very low interest rates entails the risk of creating serious financial distortions, misallocations of resources and delay in the necessary deleveraging in those advanced countries most affected by the crisis," the bank said in its annual report. [It sounds like they hired Doug Noland over at prudentbear.com to write this...as he says this sort of thing every week in his CBB. - Ed]

The BIS is an organisation of international central banks which is not accountable to any national government. [That it is. - Ed]

The bank warned that if not addressed immediately, a crash in the property market may derail economic growth in emerging economies.

"All financial crises, especially those generated by a credit-fuelled property price boom, leave long-lasting wreckage," the bank said.

These guys have a keen grasp of the obvious...and it's amazing to see them put it in print. The story is very much worth skimming...and the link is here.

Greece braces for the toughest week in its euro history

This week the embattled Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou needs to force through a raft of further austerity measures to keep his country afloat. But many feel it may be time to abandon the sinking ship.

The boardwalks and bars flanking the crystal waters of Athens' marinas were once the leisurely venues of choice for Greece's well-heeled elite. But not any longer.

The Greek government, under huge international pressure to wring every possible cent out of its woefully leaky tax system, has rounded on the country's wealthy residents and demanded they pay their dues, making the rich nervy and in some cases even driving fearful mariners away from the harbour.

This is an interesting read...and it really makes you wonder with a tax system like that, how they heck they ever got accepted in the E.U. in the first place. It's no wonder the country is going down the drain.

This is another Roy Stephens offering...and this one's from The Telegraph on Saturday...and the link is here.

Greek minister warns of 'catastrophe' if parliamentary revolt leads to austerity bill being blocked

Greece's conservative opposition has rejected EU leaders' calls for national unity, forcing Prime Minister George Papandreou to rely on his slim parliamentary majority to push through the package.

Without approval for the measures, the European Union and International Monetary Fund say they will not disburse the fifth tranche of Greece's €110bn bailout programme.

Athens needs the €12bn to pay its bills next month and avert the euro zone's first sovereign default, which would send shockwaves through a jittery global financial system.

It matters little if it passes or if it doesn't, as the world's financial system will fall apart regardless...and the only thing to wonder about is whether it will happen sooner rather than later.

This was in yesterday's edition of The Telegraph...and is another Roy Stephens offering. The link is here.

Top Economist on the Euro Crisis: 'The German Government Will Pay Up'

In a SPIEGEL interview, leading German economist Stefan Homburg argues that euro-zone members should not bail out Greece, discusses who is making a profit from the crisis and explains why he himself is buying Greek bonds. "I believe in the boundless stupidity of the German government," he says.

Not too many shades of grey with this guy. It's not an overly long read...and it's another offering from Roy. The link is here.

Soros Says a Euro Exit Mechanism Is ‘Probably Inevitable’ Amid Debt Crisis

“There’s no arrangement for any countries leaving the euro, which in current circumstances is probably inevitable,” Soros, 80, said at a panel discussion in Vienna yesterday on whether liberal democracy is at risk in Europe. “We are on the verge of an economic collapse which starts, let’s say, in Greece, but it could easily spread. The financial system remains extremely vulnerable.

This Bloomberg story from yesterday is courtesy of reader Scott Pluschau...and the link is here.

Eurozone relief as China pledges debt bailout

The Chinese premier, Wen Jiabao, has thrown the eurozone a vital lifeline and pledged to buy billions of euros of European debt to keep the single currency project alive.

The move, which will be a relief to struggling eurozone countries including Greece, Portugal and Ireland, was announced as Mr. Wen continues his four-day trip to Europe, arriving in Britain last night from Hungary and going on to Germany on Monday night.

"China is ready to work with Europe to share opportunities, cope with challenges and achieve common development and to make unremitting efforts for stable development of the world economy and an in-depth development of China-Europe ties," he added.

This story, posted in the Saturday edition of The Telegraph, is from Roy Stephens as well...and the link is here.

China’s Debt Situation Not Far Off From Greece: Analyst

Jim Antos, bank analyst at Mizuho Securities Asia, says on a scale of 1 to 10 with Greece being a 10 in terms of severity, China is an 8.

“I'm negative on the Chinese banks; on this off-balance sheet lending, very few facts and a lot of fear,” he told CNBC on Monday.

The volume of Chinese bank loans has doubled from December 2007 to May 2011, which Antos describes as a “textbook example of a credit bubble.”

Reader David Ball sent me this cnbc.com story from yesterday...and the link is here.

China Auditor Finds Irregularities in $1.7 Trillion Local Government Debt

China's first audit of local government debt found liabilities of 10.7 trillion yuan ($1.7 trillion) at the end of last year and warned of repayment risks, including a reliance on land sales.

Premier Wen Jiabao ordered the first audit of local government borrowing in March, amid concern spending designed to support the economy following the 2008 global financial crisis would leave a legacy of bad debt. As much as 30 percent of bank loans are expected to turn sour and they are likely to be the biggest source of non-performing assets for the industry, Standard & Poor's said in April.

This is another offering from reader Scott Pluschau...and it's a Bloomberg piece from yesterday. The link is here.

Don't Forget - The Deadline To Come Clean Is This Thursday: Simon Black

Are you a US taxpayer? Do you have at least $10,000 in overseas accounts? It’s time to put those annual disclosure statements in the mail… and quickly. Let me explain.

Each year by June 30th, US taxpayers are obliged to report all foreign financial accounts in which they have either a beneficial interest or signature authority, so long as the aggregate value of all the accounts exceeds $10,000 at any time during the calendar year. The form is known as the FBAR.

You must accurately disclose the highest value of each account during the previous calendar year on your FBAR… so make sure you go back through your bank and brokerage statements to check.

If you fall into this category, dear reader, I urge you to check out this zerohedge.com piece that reader Phil Barlett was kind enough to share with us...and the link is here.

Revolting PIIGS: Ben Davies

Writing for King World News, Hinde Capital CEO Ben Davies foresees a sort of "swine flu" from Europe's "PIIGS" infecting the financial world, including the United States, United Kingdom, and China. The only protection, Davies concludes, is to hold assets outside the banking system, like the great monetary asset that has no liabilities...gold.

I stole the preamble from Chris Powell...and the link to this rather lengthy must read blog over at KWN is here.

First a Gold Rush, Then the Lawyers

The mining business, regardless of what mineral is being dug out of the ground, is fraught with danger...with the biggest danger being governments.

When a Central American gold rush brought a Canadian mining company here a few years ago, the company promised to stake a claim that would be as green as the lush hills.

“No other mine in North America has gone to this level of environmental protection,” said Tom Shrake, the chief executive of the Canadian company, Pacific Rim, which is seeking to tap a vein that it says could be worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

But when the government of El Salvador, facing mounting public concern over the consequences of mining, failed to grant the company the final permit it needed, Pacific Rim sought to extract a different kind of green: $77 million from the nation’s treasury as compensation for lost profits.

This is another Phil Barlett offering...this one from the Saturday edition of The New York Times...and the link is here.

Gold May Gain for First Time in Four Days Before Greek Vote on Budget Cuts

I think that this is the third 'gold may gain because of Greece's problems' that I've run in the last ten days. So far, JPMorgan and the rest of 'da boyz' have had other plans for both precious metals...so we'll see if this story has any more credibility than the last two.

We're almost through the roll-overs out of the July silver contract...and with first notice day on Thursday, maybe there's a chance that the bullion banks will back off.

I thank Washington state reader S.A. for this Bloomberg story from yesterday...and the link is here.

GoldMoney's James Turk interviews Erste Bank's Ronald-Peter Stöferle

Here's a story that was posted as a GATA release in the wee hours of this morning...and, like the previous story, I'm just going to steal Chris Powell's preamble and post the link.

GoldMoney founder James Turk has just interviewed Ronald-Peter Stöferle, analyst for Erste Bank in Vienna, whose reports have cited manipulation of the gold market by central banks (here.

¤ The Funnies

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¤ The Wrap

When the food riots start in New York, LA, London, Paris, etc., I want to be good and far away. - Doug Casey

Gold's net volume on Monday was around 120,000 contracts, which is a fairly healthy number...but with gold now below its 50-day moving average, the tech funds were obviously liquidating their long positions...and the bullion banks were standing there buying those longs for themselves, or covering short positions. The preliminary open interest number showed a decline of 849 contracts, so it's a good bet that the final number will show a fairly chunky decline as well when it's posted on the CME's website later this morning. Gold's final open interest number for Friday showed a decline of 4,425 contracts.

Silver's trading volume yesterday, net of all roll-overs, was a smallish 36,000 contracts...but the preliminary open interest number showed a fairly healthy increase of 2,669 contracts...which will be considerably reduced later this morning when the final number is posted. Silver's final open interest number for Friday's trading day showed a decline of 1,024 contracts.

Gold is now well below its 50-day moving average...and silver's been below its 50-day moving average for several weeks now.

From a Commitment of Traders point of view, it sure seems like silver has pretty much been all cleaned out to the downside...and it just remains to be seen how much of a licking that the bullion banks are going to lay on the tech fund long positions in gold. There could still be more pain to the down-side...but we'll just have to wait it out.

Here's the 3-year gold chart once again...with Monday's data added. Like I said on Saturday, can [or will] the bullion banks gun for the 200-day moving average, as we haven't been below it in over thirty months.

I might as well throw in the 3-year silver chart as well. We're a little over two bucks away from the 200-day moving average. Can JPMorgan et al do it? And if they can, one has to wonder how many tech fund longs they're going to be able to scrape off the bottom of the silver barrel. My guess is...not a lot...and time will tell.

I note that both gold and silver popped a bit shortly after the London open this morning. Volume in gold [as of 5:21 a.m. Eastern time] is a very light 15,000 contracts...and silver's volume [including JPMorgan's high frequency traders] is a very small 3,300 contracts after the roll-overs into September and December are removed. I'm always encouraged to see positive price action on such tiny volumes, as it normally means that the rallies are not running into serious bullion bank opposition.

But, it's too soon to tell for sure....and a much clearer picture will emerge once New York starts to trade.

That's enough for today...and I'll see you here tomorrow.

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