rf_capital's Profile

rf_capital's Posts

Re: Miners enjoy bounce in precious metals

Could be the setup for the Italian Referendum vote on Sunday. If it fails, expect Dollar to go up with Euro going down.  Can't say what it would mean for gold but if current correlations hold, its not going to be good.

almost 8 years ago
Re: Tyhee Update

Has Tyhee set a deadline? It seems silly they keep dragging this out into the gold bear market. If they wait too long, the bidders will just stand back and take their offer off the table and then shareholders have to wait another year.


Seriously, they've handled this all wrong by not rushing to a deal.

almost 8 years ago
Re: Tyhee Update (A Very Welcomed Delay)

So Friday again?

almost 8 years ago
Re: So Why Didn't Gold Prices Remain High After Trump Won? In a word..

Yes. The gold bull market was losing steam in 3Q. It looks like gold will take a break until April 17'.


The valuations were through the roof on anything gold related. I did my own calculations and gold expectations (not the actual comex price) was around $1500-$1600 depending on what stock. With so much uncertainty given the presidential elections, I started selling half of my portfolio. I am glad I did.


Look, after getting burned so many times by people saying that gold is going to the moon, its just better to keep a balanced view of the world and understand the factors that really drive gold. I will tell you that interest rates trending negative in 2016 caused a lot of money to flow into gold. We had such a nice surge in anything gold related that I made back everything that I lost in the 2011-2015 gold bear. But I saw that the valuations were getting out of hand and that the US wasn't going to be that dumb and go for negative interest rates. Doing that would just sink all the US pension funds and cause an immediate crisis.


Fed's also signaled that they're going to raise interest rates in December, so bye bye negative rates. Interest rates are re-pricing as we speak and causing a lot of volatility in all markets.


Its all out there. You just have to take the time to understand the trends and impact on each market. Yeah markets are manipulated but the "cartel" can't control the long term. Gold is such a tiny market compared to FX and fixed income. Just have to have some perspective and you can see the real hand that moves gold prices.

almost 8 years ago
Re: So Why Didn't Gold Prices Remain High After Trump Won? In a word..

Well if his excuse for gold going down is always the cartel, then he is going to be in for some pain.


Inflation is coming. Interest rates are going to change. The chessboard is being reset for the next move. Traders are just piling onto the short side. Druckenmiller unloaded his gold position because he sees the same. Jim Rogers not buying. All the fast money that was in gold is out. If he's angry about losing money, he only has himself to blame. THE SIGNS ARE OUT THERE.

almost 8 years ago
Re: So Why Didn't Gold Prices Remain High After Trump Won? In a word..

Sorry its not the cartel. Interest rate expectations are going through the roof. Everyone's pulling back from the bond market and the losses have to be absorbed by selling anything that's not tied down. Gold is included.


Tyhee better be close to making that deal. The bull market will return when interest rate volatility substantially increases. I expect that to occur when inflation starts eating into corporate profits and outpaces the recovery of the economy.


It's going to be rough, but just have cash ready

almost 8 years ago
rf_capital
City
Rank
Vice President
Activity Points
1406
Rating
Your Rating
Date Joined
08/15/2012
Social Links
Private Message

Followed Hubs

Symbol:
SPA
Exchange:
TSX-V
Shares:
228,075,128 ...
Industry:
Website:
Welcome To The Spanish Mountain Gold HUB On AGORACOM Projects in Central British Columbia
Symbol:
FF
Exchange:
TSX-V
Shares:
321.5 mm FD
Symbol:
NVO
Exchange:
CSE
Shares:
68 million -...
Symbol:
PRG
Exchange:
TSX-V
Shares:
25.47 millio...
Symbol:
JG
Exchange:
TSX-V
Shares:
55.45M
Industry:
Website: