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Some reading while we wait...and wait...

Here are some simple rules of chart reading that I think anyone analyzing charts should keep in mind.

Prices That Fall in to Support Will Bounce at Support
Support and resistance are important concepts of chart analysis. Support is a floor price that has been formed by the market over time, it is a low price point where the price trend stopped going down and started to go up. Chart readers look for breaks through support as a signal that a down trend is beginning.

However, that is not always the case. If a stock's price is falling day after day, it is likely to bounce around support but it may go through support temporarily. Therefore, don't short breaks through support if the break comes after a number of days of downward price movement. Prices in free fall will usually bounce around support.

Prices that Consolidate Before Breaking Support Will Trend Lower
Here is how to apply the sell on a break of support rule. If prices are trending sideways with relatively low volatility at or near an area of price support and then make a downward move through support, the stock is likely going in to a downward trend. The difference here is that the downtrend is just starting with an initial break through support.

You can reverse these rules for resistance and upside breakouts as well.

Breakouts From Low Price Volatility are Reliable
What does it mean when stocks trend sideways with very little price volatility? It is more than just a boring chart, it means that buyers and sellers agree about what the stock is worth. It is a display of confidence in the value given to the stock.

Therefore, if the stock price breaks from this period of confidence, it implies that there is new information that justifies the price move. This usually comes in the early stages of a trend; as more investors learn about the new information, more people will jump in to the stock and carry it farther along its trend.

This means that identifying breaks from low price volatility is an important way to catch market beating trends early.

Prices That Run Away From the Trend Line Come Back to the Trendline
In the long term, prices tend to trend in a linear fashion. That means you can draw a straight line across the bottoms of an up trend or a straight line across the tops of a down trend.

However, along the way, prices will often move away from this straight line. This happens because investors get emotional and either chase the stock higher with greed or force the stock quickly lower with fear.

The emotion eventually comes out of the market, bringing the stock back to that linear, straight trend line.

This means that we should be aware of a short term price reversal the farther prices get from the linear trend line. A stock that runs away to the upside will eventually come down on a pull back. Prices that fall too quickly will eventually come up.

This rule works best with up trends, which tend to be more orderly and longer lasting than down trends.

All Available Information Is Shown In the Chart
Traditional investors who have heard me talk about the markets often shake their heads when they hear that I do not do any research in to what the company does before I buy a stock. They find it hard to believe that I can make money trading nothing more than the chart.

The chart of price change shows us every bit of fundamental information that is known by the market. Since most investors are acting on information to make their decisions, reading a chart is essentially reading their perceptions of the information that they have. A company that is doing well within their business will have a good looking chart because investors are pricing in the positive new information.

Falling Tops Are a Sign That Investors are Pessimistic
If investors believe that there is something wrong with a company's ability to make money in the future, they will drive prices lower over time. This pessimism is best seen visually in a chart by looking for falling tops. The falling tops on the chart show that every time the buyers are able to push prices up, they are unable to push prices as high as they had the previous time. That is a sign that the sellers are in control of the market.

Rising Bottoms Are a Sign That Investors are Optimistic
Conversely, if the bottoms are rising on the chart, investors are optimistic and the buyers are in control. Each time the sellers are able to push prices down, they are unable to push them down as much as they had the previous time.

It is best to only buy stocks that are in the buyers' control.

Up Trends Start Slowly
A stock that has been an under or non-performer will have investor's doubt any time it shows some strength. Investors tend to judge a stock by what has happened in the past rather than what they expect for the future. The result is that stocks that are starting upward trends tend to do so slowly because investors doubt that the company deserves to go higher.

This means you have to be patient with up trends that are in their early stages as they will often have false starts. Doubting investors who own the stock will sell in to strength, not realizing that the company's future is brighter than it has been.

over 7 years ago
Re: Financial Post says

Well, the article may be almost a year old, but the silver lining may be that the statement about nothing happening "any time soon" is now that much older.


We all deserve some kind of medal for hanging in this long.


 


GS40


 

over 7 years ago
Re: Trudeau government dashes hope for Ring of Fire developme

Not exactly the kind of news I was referring to.


Thanks for the nice wet blanket for Christmas.


GS40


 


Get on with it already - one way or the other.


 


 

over 7 years ago
Re: A nicely worded Christmas Card from Noront will do

Waiting...for anything...


 


But, in the meantime, wishing everyone a very Merry Christmas and a prosperous 2017 (if we're lucky)


 


GS40

almost 8 years ago
GDP Boost


The National Aboriginal Economic Development Board says Canada's GDP would get an annual boost of $27.7 billion if barriers were removed to ensure indigenous people can participate in the economy.


The group's latest report, to be released Tuesday, says equal economic opportunity for indigenous peoples would help Canada address ongoing economic challenges caused by low productivity and demographic pressure from an aging population.


It also notes the productivity of Canada's Aboriginal Peoples would match that of their non-indigenous counterparts if they received the same level of education and training.


The report says an additional $8.5 billion in income could be earned every year by the indigenous workforce if education and training gaps are closed.


For example, it suggests B.C. could stand to benefit to the tune of $1.4 billion a year in additional income earned by more than 125,000 workers, while Ontario could bring in an additional $2 billion through more than 169,000 workers.


The board says the indigenous labour force is underutilized, despite the fact the indigenous population is young and growing fast.


Dawn Madahbee Leach, the board's interim chair, says economic development can also assist in reconciliation efforts.


"I can tell you first-hand, when somebody is provided with a job, they are able to provide for their families with regards to basic needs like shelter and food and then they become a role model for their children," she said.


"This report deals ... with helping our people to help themselves through employment, through education and training."

almost 8 years ago
Goldstar40
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