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This was naive at best, incompetent at worst. What would any reasonable person presume on a PO preannouncement without terms?! Obviously uncertainty drives the market - who exactly didn't realize this?! Seriously.
BOTTOM LINE - Hold onto your shares. Selling may possibly only play into this mgmt/investment banker cabal to take this company private.Again, the scenario plays out something like this ...
the cabal will continue to drive the price down - perhaps U$.20 or less
the cabal then brings a 'white knight' offer to the shareholders promising a 2-3X takeout, and company goes private.
at a 3X U$.60 offer, the cabal will steal the company at U$180M
mgmt's underwater options are equivalently converted to (likely an even higher) share of NewCo
shareholders are at least satisfied that they got out cutting their losses somewhat
NewCo has the necessary capital infusion to run comfortably another 18-24 months
within which time, without the anchor of running a public company, NewCo succeeds in finishing out the tech and begins to recognize serious revenue.- a new IPO is orchestrated at a subscription price of something far greater than $5/share. Who's the real winner here?!
Agora held somewhere between 50-60M shares per the 2016 poll. If I am correct and if governed by Ontario law, the cabal - at 90%, will require at least 270M of the newly diluted 300M shares outstanding. Translated, retail need to hold strong to force their hand, and obtain as high as possible a settlement.Bailing now will only play into their hands if this scenario is correct. Holding will ensure - while not the utopian outcome for which we were all hoping - but the best possible eventual return under this circumstance.
In any case, if this is the play, a sad reality indeed.
Very interesting frame-of-reference MP. Given that the transceiver module/patch-cord soluiton is/will be replaced by AOC, where do you see the Transceiver module being used as a standalone? What markets? TIA
In consideration of pending NRE revenue, the following article provides a pretty comprehensive overview on the 'when, how and how much'. While it references software development (ISV), I would imagine that fundamental principles still apply.
http://pragmaticmarketing.com//resources/non-recurring-engineering?p=1
Communications will fall under the domain of the VP Marketing. Not an immediate priority, but would be surprised if it didn't evolve some time during the year.
... and the 3 Million options for (the traditionally cash-strapped) Leon Pierhal, expiring September 30?!