Victoria Gold Corp
Victoria’s transformation and growth has been significant over the past twelve months, including the completion of two major corporate transactions adding a total of 4.4 million ounces of gold that are National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”) compliant to the Company, and successfully completing the Phase 1 drill campaign at the Helen Zone located at the Cove project in Nevada, USA.
GATA MEDIA SPECIAL
The Reason for Gold’s Imminent Price Moon Shot? It’s a Simple Supply/Demand Story.
By
BILL MURPHY September 7 - Gold $995 Gold demand has been outpacing gold mine and scrap supply by more than 1,000 tonnes per year for the past decade … probably much more in some cases. The difference has been met by official bank selling and clandestine central bank lending … meaning bullion banks like JP Morgan Chase have been borrowing gold from central banks at extremely low interest rates and selling it into the physical market, using the proceeds for their internal operations, etc. As a result, the central banks have less than half of the 30,000 tonnes of gold they say they have, probably a lot less than half. The unloading of central bank gold was not a fluke, but a coordinated effort, by a United States government-led Gold Cartel, to suppress the price of gold. This "scheme" was set in motion by Robert Rubin, as part of his role as Treasury Secretary, and was the essence of his "Strong Dollar Policy." In a brilliant maneuver at the time Rubin, as CEO of Goldman Sachs’ London operations, began borrowing gold from central banks in the late 1980’s for next to nothing interest rates (say 1%, compared to the prevailing rates of 8% to 12%) as CEO of Goldman Sachs’ London operations, and eventually carried those dealings forward to new heights as US Treasury Secretary. Presidents Clinton, Bush and Obama all have influenced bullion banks and other central banks to mobilize gold to suit their own agendas. One of them has been to keep US interest rates unnaturally and artificially low. This is not conjecture on GATA’s part. Gibson's Paradox was the observation that the rate of interest and the general level of prices were observed to be correlated. The term was first used by John Maynard Keynes in his 1930 work A Treatise on Money. In 1988 Lawrence Summers co-authored a paper in the Journal of Political Economy titled "Gibson’s Paradox and the Gold Standard." In essence he said there was a relationship between gold and interest rates … or, keep the price of gold down and US interest rates would also be kept down. Summers followed Rubin as Treasury Secretary and followed in his footsteps regarding US gold and his "Strong Dollar" policy.
CHAIRMAN
GOLD ANTI-TRUST ACTION COMMITTEE (GATA)
The "conspiracy" to hold down the price of gold could not have been more obvious as long as ten years ago
The US Strong Dollar Policy did not stop at US shores. On May 7, 1999 Britain’s Gordon Brown, Chancellor of the Exchequer, announced in advance that England would sell 415 tonnes of its gold to the lowest bidders in the coming years in an auction format. This bizarre announcement stopped a rallying gold price in its tracks (for a couple of years) and was the SINGLE event over time which most attracted GATA’s brightest consultants and staunchest supporters. The "conspiracy" to hold down the price of gold could not have been more obvious as long as ten years ago. From my MIDAS commentary on May 6, 1999 the day BEFORE this critical gold sale announcement: Deutsche Bank, Chase, Swiss Bank and Goldman Sachs were all there selling gold during today's session and, when they had to, even throwing the kitchen sink at the bulls attack. Deutsche Bank has been especially aggressive and noticeable in their selling the past few days. We got word late this afternoon that their bullion desk is calling their clients saying that the gold market is stopping at $290.
*** Some day there will be books written about the surreptitious gold price manipulation scheme and what occurred during the decade following the BOE gold sale announcement (part of which might allude to how Gordon Brown sold his soul and country’s gold on the cheap to gain favor of the rich and powerful in his quest to become Prime Minister). However, the above was written only to set the framework for gold’s coming price explosion (SILVER’s too). P> Fast forward 10 ½ years and the EXPLOSIVE gold scenario. This mention of gold demand and supply is not intended as in-depth analysis. Instead, it’s to focus on the major features which represent The Tipping Point in terms of reasons for MUCH higher gold prices which are right around the corner…
DEMAND…
*Central banks have been sellers for the past decade+. However, they have now become net buyers, led by China and Russia, both top global gold producers. Thus, it is in their special interest to accumulate gold instead of depreciating dollars. Russia has been following GATA for more than half this past decade as articulated by Oleg V. Mozhaiskov, the deputy chairman of the Bank of Russia, that country's central bank, who stunned the attendees at the prestigious London Bullion Market Association in Moscow in June 2004 by mentioning the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, the only words he spoke in English. He stated: They believe that with the assistance of a number of major financial institutions (they mention in particular the Bank for International Settlements, J.P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, and others), some senior officials have been manipulating the market since 1994. As a result, the price dropped below US$300 an ounce at a time when it should, if it had kept pace with inflation, have reached US$740-760." It was no fluke that a year later in August 2005 Andrey Bykov, a key economic consultant to President Putin of Russia, attended our Gold Rush 21 conference in the Yukon’s Dawson City… http://www.goldrush21.com/
Andrey told me it was the finest conference he had ever attended. A steady, quiet price of gold exploded two days later, running up to $730 in the ensuing months. On August 20, 2009 Russia revealed an increase in their gold holdings in July of 600,000 ounces, which now stand at 18l.3 million ounces. As far as China goes, the GATA camp was first to reveal their gold accumulating activity which began in 2003. From my commentaries way back when… September 19, 2003 - Gold $381.10 up $4.80 - Silver $5.25 up 2 cents *The orders are emanating out of New Zealand and Australia. My source believes it is Asian money and most likely CHINESE! December 23, 2003 - Gold $410.65 up 55 cents - Silver $5.71 up 2 cents …As Café members have been made aware, the Eastern gold buyers have additional competition due to the enormous physical market buying by THE STALKER ("gold buying group"). Without getting into many details, I want to stress THE STALKER is real. My source’s good friend has attended a meeting with this "gold buying group," or his agent. I say "or" because THE STALKER is very secretive and does not want to be known publicly, even to the sellers from whom he is buying. Both my source and I strongly believe the gold buying is of Chinese origin… January 15, 2004 - Gold $408.30 down $13.10 - Silver $6.19 down 21 cents …Good news! Just got off the phone with my STALKER source. There was an unscheduled phone conference this afternoon with THE STALKER’S US buyers. They have a NEW order for $800 million to $1.2 billion to be completed between now and March. 72 tonnes of new gold buying is nothing to sneeze at! The orders are still coming out of Australia and my source continues to believe they are for mainland China… January 28, 2004 - Gold $414.60 up $4.90 - Silver $6.60 up 7 cents While most conference presenters stressed the weak dollar as the most important gold factor, I stressed it was the surging physical market. In that regard, I learned this morning THE STALKER (probably China) just completed the last bit of its $6.8 billion order. NOW, THE STALKER is working on its additional 800 million to $1.2 billion dollar gold order (brought to your attention recently). I might know more on this on Friday. February 24, 2004 - Gold $403.90 up $5.70 - Silver $6.59 up 13 cents We have confirmed the buyer is from the Far East, in all probability Chinese, and they still have $1.5 billion of gold to buy. We also know why they are buying. This is a big picture trade, not a short-term speculation. The gold they are accumulating is going into deep storage and not coming back into the market on rallies. The reason is these "Chinese" fear a complete debacle in fiat currencies in the next couple of years… Now, fast forward to April 24, 2009… GATA’s Credibility Soars On China Gold Buying News GATA’s credibility took another leap forward this morning when China announced it has increased its gold reserves to 1,054 tonnes from 600 tonnes. For years and years and years GATA has claimed that the gold world establishment has failed to account for surreptitious gold lending operations by The Gold Cartel to suppress the price. For there to be greater gold supply hitting the market, there had to be greater demand to satisfy this undisclosed supply. As a result of Frank Veneroso’s brilliant supply/demand work in years past, we mentioned that one of the demand areas, that the likes of a GFMS was not accounting for, was China, and that someday their stealth buying would be reported. Voila… China gold reserves apparently doubled HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- China has added to its gold reserves and now holds 1,054 metric tons of the yellow metal, according to a Friday report by the Xinhua News Agency, which cited comment by Hu Xiaolian, head of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange. Hu said that China's gold reserves had risen by 454 metric tons since 2003 and that the total was being reported to the International Monetary Fund as per the organization's rules. *** The next day a Café member reported that adding up the Chinese purchases, reported in late 2003 and very early in 2004 by the GATA camp, came to 510 tonnes … very close to the 454 tonnes reported in April. This purchase alone is more than what the Chinese government just announced (454 tonnes), and it was completed in Jan 2004 … and took five years to be officially announced. Equally crucial to understanding the Chinese interest in gold, GATA has participated in three conference calls with the Chinese Investment Corporation in Beijing since April 2008. On this recent September 3rd Lawrence Williams reported the following in MineWeb… Several reports are coming out of China that there is pressure on state-controlled organisations - notably the country's main sovereign wealth fund, China Investment Corporation (CIC) to rapidly build investment in non-Chinese enterprises. http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mine *** The Chinese became extremely aware of GATA's findings and the reasons why the price of gold was going to soar During my conversations with the Chinese it was apparent they were very concerned about ruffling feathers, yet were becoming extemley aware of GATA’s findings and the reasons why the price of gold was going to SOAR in the years ahead. Subsequent to these conference calls with the Chinese, I learned this past month from TWO different sources they intended to buy hundreds of tonnes of gold per year for years to come, but intended to do so as discreetly as possible. And then just the other day Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of The Telegraph in London came out with the following… Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Gold now enjoys the 'Beijing put' China has issued what amounts to the "Beijing Put" on gold. You can make a lot of money, but you really can’t lose…. I happened to see quite a bit of Cheng Siwei at the Ambrosetti Workshop, a gathering of politicians and global strategists at Lake Como, including a dinner at Villa d’Este last night at which he listened very attentively as a number of American guests tore President Obama’s economic and health policy to shreds. Mr Cheng was until recently Vice-Chairman of the Communist Party’s Standing Committee, and is now a sort of economic ambassador for China around the world — a charming man, by the way, who left Hong Kong for mainland China in 1950 at the age of 16, as young idealist eager to serve the revolution. Sixty years later, he calls himself simply "a survivior". What he said about US monetary policy and He played down other metals such as copper, saying that they could not double as a proxy currency or store of wealth. "Gold is definitely an alternative, but when we buy, the price goes up. We have to do it carefully so as not stimulate the market," he said. In other words, China is buying the dips, and will continue to do so as a systematic policy. His comment captures exactly what observation of gold price action suggests is happening. Every time it looks as if the bullion market is going to buckle, some big force steps in from the unknown… -END- AND, not for nothing ... China, who everyone knows thinks LONG TERM, has ENCOURAGED its citizens to buy gold and silver after having only legalized gold ownership for citizens in 2007 and silver ownership in 2009. *In addition to the traditional sources of strong gold demand, such as India, which eats up much of the annual gold mine supply, a new mega buyer has entered the arena, huge investment buyers such as hedge funds and pension funds … the most notable being John Paulson of Paulson & Co and David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital. Both have made extensive commitments to the physical gold arena, primarily through SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)… 17:07 FT discusses recent rally in gold ***** *The crisis bid … When gold ran up during the financial crisis, much of that rise was attributed to a "crisis bid." Gold has now reached close to its historic highs without that bid, but one which is VERY likely to reappear this fall. At the moment the bullish gold sentiment is extremely low relative to the rise in the gold price, probably because of the super lift in the DOW … meaning GOLD is not on the general public’s radar screen. If I am right, this will all change in the weeks ahead. This new demand will put incredible strain on The Gold Cartel. SUPPLY... *Gold mine supply has been falling for years due to the controlled low gold prices relative to escalating mining costs … with an annual production of less than 2300 tonnes at the present time, which is not much considering demand is greater than 4,000 tonnes per year, perhaps a LOT greater. *Scrap supply tends to increase on sharp price rises, as was the case earlier this year. However, it tends to dry up at those price levels once those buyers have sold and only picks up steam again when much higher new prices are achieved. *Of much significance is a usual source of gold supply has dried up: official central bank selling. The European central banks were allowed to sell 500 tonnes per year, and then 400 tonnes per year, under back-to-back "Washington Agreements," which came into being in September of 1999 and 2004. However, their selling has been gradually drying up. Less than 150 tonnes have been sold this year and NOTHING of any note over the past six weeks. While fashionable to sell gold the past decade+, it is now seen as a sign of imprudence, especially as all these sales have been losers and the US is bent on "quantitative easing," and flooding the world with fiat dollars. *This leaves the clandestine selling, and lending of gold by The Gold Cartel, which is The US government; various bullion banks like JP Morgan Chase; and other central banks like the Bank of England. The problem is The Gold Cartel is hitting the wall regarding tapping into available central bank supply. They are down to using either IMF or US gold to meet the increasing annual demand/supply deficit. This has put them under severe pressure as these gold sources are quickly depleting and cannot be sustained before President Obama’s term is over. (Yes, The Gold Cartel is pressuring the IMF to officially dump 400 tonnes of gold in the years ahead, but even if Congress approves the sale, the Chinese will likely take it all). The only questions are when, and how, does The Gold Cartel bite the bullet and let the price of gold rise sharply in order to allow "Sticker Shock" to slow down demand … in order to conserve whatever available gold supply the cartel has left. It is the ONLY way they can conserve some of their selling ammunition at this point, to prevent eventual financial market chaos. This is a reason gold has risen the past nine years DESPITE the presence of this Gold Cartel. But, now so many factors are going against them ALL AT ONCE! They CANNOT prevent the price of gold from rising to much higher levels and soon…eventually to $3,000 to $5,000 per ounce the way I see it. At GATA’s African Gold Summit in Durban, South Africa on May 10, 2001 GATA consultant Frank Veneroso predicted The Gold Cartel would run out of available central bank supply in 7 to 10 years. Well, we are in the middle of that zone RIGHT NOW, with a confluence of factors all coming together, which ought to give us liftoff very shortly. THIS IS KEY: The Gold Cartel does not have enough available central bank gold left to ration growing demand at these price levels ... not even close. It will take MUCH higher prices in the short term for them to even stay afloat!!! It will take $1500 gold to ration current demand, or clear the market, FOR STARTERS. In addition to the very bullish demand/supply situation, there is another special factor which has recently crept into the gold arena… CONCERN OVER GOLD OWNERSHIP GATA has long been concerned over dual ownership, or paper claims, over the same bullion. There has been a great deal of concern over this issue on certain ETF’s … especially the ones whose stewardship is led by bullion banks in The Gold Cartel, certain Mints/gold depositories, and in other bullion banks. This concern is suddenly spreading outside of The GATA camp…. *Recently, Greenlight Capital’s David Einhorn shifted his enormous physical gold holdings out of GLD to "bullion" ownership. * Hong Kong is calling its gold home:
Hong Kong recalls gold reserves, touts high-security vault By Chris Oliver HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- Hong Kong is pulling all its physical gold holdings from depositories in London, transferring them to a high-security depository newly built at the city's airport, in a move that won praise from local traders Thursday.... -END- *There has even been a hullabaloo of late about the status of Germany’s gold reserves. From a recent GATA missive sent out by GATA Treasury/Secretary Chris Powell: International journalist Max Keiser has just posted a nine-minute documentary he has done about the British government's gold sales that were begun in 1999 and now are disparaged as "Brown's Bottom," after then-Chancellor, now-Prime Minister Gordon Brown, who decided upon the sales and remains unashamed that they marked the bottom of the gold market. Keiser's documentary is based largely on an interview with Conservative Party opposition Member of Parliament Phillip Hammond, who is shadow chief secretary of the treasury and who remarks that the British gold sales seem to have been structured precisely to knock the price of gold down rather than to maximize the return to the British government. Hammond also wonders aloud whether "something other than achieving the best price" might have been the objective of the gold sales scheme. But Keiser's documentary may be sensational for getting an acknowledgement from the German central bank, the Bundesbank, that Germany's gold reserves are actually in the custody of the United States. This is a detail the Bundesbank long has denied to others who have inquired and is potentially a matter of great controversy in Germany. It raises the question of whether the German gold reserves are actually intact at all or whether they have been used by the U.S. government as part of its long-time gold price suppression scheme or have been comingled and diminished with the gold reserves of other countries held in the United States. While Keiser's documentary does not identify the Bundesbank spokesman who confirmed the transfer of the German gold reserves to New York, it does provide the date and location of the confirmation: March 17, 2008, at Bundesbank headquarters in Frankfurt. The documentary shows that Keiser was there and got the interview. After his interview at the Bundesbank, Keiser remarks: "The most fascinating thing I've heard is that all the gold in Germany is in New York." Indeed. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EzVhzoAqMhU
-END- An embarrassed US Treasury changed the nomenclature of all US gold to "Deep Storage Gold." GATA has long claimed the 1700 tonnes of US gold reserves at West Point were swapped for Germany’s gold, which is why the US Treasury changed its nomenclature from "Gold Bullion Reserve" to "Custodial Gold" in 2000. The GATA camp caught this change and made a huge stink … so much that an embarrassed US Treasury changed the nomenclature of all US gold to "Deep Storage Gold." There is too much smoke of late when it comes to concerns over gold ownership … from big league folks. Perhaps the biggest bombshell of all could eventually be from a massive melt-up due to the ramifications over this report and the huge gold derivatives positions held by JP Morgan Chase and others… Mon Aug 31, 2009 7:42am EDT * State-owned firms may default on commodity hedges - report By Eadie Chen and Chen Aizhu BEIJING, Aug 31 (Reuters) - A report that Chinese state-owned companies will be allowed to walk away from loss-making commodity derivative trades provoked anger and dismay among investment bankers on Monday as they feared it may set a damaging precedent… -END- GATA has been all over the manipulation of the gold/silver markets with the CFTC as long as Harry Markopolos tried to expose Madoff with the SEC ... with a similar response. This lack of response to a decade of GATA's efforts deserves serious media inquiry. THE PERFECT GOLD STORM Add all this up and you have the recipe for the PERFECT GOLD STORM, one which will send The Gold Cartel reeling and the price of gold headed towards the moon. On January 31, 2009 GATA placed a $264,400 full-age color ad in the Wall Street journal titled, "Anybody Seen Our Gold?” http://www.gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal In this ad, we made the following statement: "Gold’s recent price rise towards $900 shows the gold price suppression scheme is faltering. When it is widely understood how central banks have been suppressing gold, its price may rise to $3,000 or $5,000 or more." It is only a matter of time and not so much time. *** In addition to his role as GATA chairman, Bill Murphy has written about the gold market for the past 11 years at his financial market website, www.LeMetropoleCafe.com. He has also chaired three international gold conferences… *The GATA African Gold Summit in Durban, South Africa on May 10, 2001. He can be reached at midasnh@aol.com or LePatron@LeMetroPoleCafe.com.
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The FT notes that gold prices hit a six-month high on Thursday, approaching the $1K an ounce level for the fifth time in two years. The article cites traders who say that bullish technicals have triggered a jump in speculative flows into the precious metal. The FT also highlights some piggybacking on successful hedge funds such as Greenlight Capital and Paulson & Co., which have purchased gold this year following the massive monetary stimulus on the part of the world's leading central banks. In a challenge to London, Asian states invited to store bullion closer to home
What makes GATA different is that we are the only activist organization in the gold industry ... at least as far as anything that really counts. On December 18, 2008 I met with CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton, and three others including their Senior Counsel, laying out GATA's case in the process. Bart is unique in the bureaucratic world and a heckuva smart guy, but the bottom line is despite one on-going investigation in the silver market after another, due to the incredible concentrated short positions of a very few bullion banks, the CFTC does nothing and allows no public comment on this most critical issue re their hearings. Instead they muddle around about zip in the energy and grain markets.
* Bankers dismayed, confused by report; seek more details
* Lawyers question legality of the move
* Traders suspect lurking losses may have prompted warning
*Gold Rush 21 in the Yukon’s Dawson City on August 8-10, 2005.
*GATA Goes To Washington in Arlington, Virginia on April 17-19, 2008.
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thomas4124
City
Rancho Palso Verdes
Rank
President
Activity Points
2198
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Your Rating
Date Joined
11/03/2007
Victoria Gold Corp
Symbol
VIT
Exchange
TSX-V
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496m
Industry
Metals & Minerals
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